December 06, 2019
It’s down to the final 12 teams in the state of Kentucky as six classes will battle it out for state titles over the next three days at Kroger Field in Lexington.
Friday’s matchups feature the Class 1A and 3A championships, Saturday has the 2A, 4A and 5A games while Sunday’s finale is the 6A title game. Plenty of Division I and other college level talent will be on display throughout the weekend in Lexington.
Here’s a brief look at each matchup with my score prediction:
CLASS 1A CHAMPIONSHIP, Paintsville (11-3) vs Pikeville (13-0), Friday, 2 p.m.
These two Eastern Kentucky powers met in the third game of the season in what many would call a backyard brawl, Pikeville escaping in Paintsville, 9-8. A total of 275 yards were gained between the two in the first matchup as the defenses rose to the occasion. That was the Panthers closest call to the smell of defeat, running the table to date with a 13-0 record. The Panthers have done a lot of it with theor defense, allowing a Class A best 11.8 points per game. Pikeville will be looking for their fifth state championship while Paintsville is looking for their first, having lost in two state title games in 1978 and 1985.
PREDICTION: Pikeville 19, Paintsville 8
CLASS 3A CHAMPIONSHIP, Bell County (14-0) vs Belfry (10-3), Friday, 7 p.m.
The two winningest coaches in KHSAA history will face off in the nightcap on Friday. Belfry’s Philip Haywood owns 448 wins, Bell County’s Dudley Hilton with 393 wins, 48 more wins than any other coach in KHSAA history. The Bobcats enter undefeated, beating everyone in sight by at least 14 points in their 14 games so far. The question begs has any of them been up to the level of competition that Belfry presents? The Pirates have lost three games this season, but two of those losses are to teams also playing for a state title this weekend in Pikeville and Johnson Central. The other loss was to Archbishop Alter out of Ohio. Bell County’s offense has been nearly unstoppable all season, averaging 44.5 points per game led by QB London Stephney and a potent rushing attack. Speaking of rushing attacks, Belfry churns out 338.6 yards per game.
PREDICTION: Belfry 36, Bell County 30
CLASS 2A CHAMPIONSHIP, Mayfield (13-1) vs Somerset (13-1), Saturday, 1 p.m.
Having lost the last two state championship games, Mayfield will enter this one hungry in their search for their 13th state championship in school history. Meanwhile, Somerset is still looking for the program’s first-ever state title, having lost their five previous trips to the state title game. Mayfield lost their fourth game of the season and have pretty much rolled since, scoring at least 35 points in every game and averaging 45.8 points per game this season. The Briar Jumpers are a point off from a perfect season, their lone loss to Lexington Christian back on October 18. They also feature a prolific offense, averaging 40.8 points per game. Both teams have gunslingers at QB, Mayfield’s Jayden Stinson throwing for 3,506 yards and 48 touchdowns, Somerset’s Kaiya Sheron throwing for 3,043 yards and 27 touchdowns.
PREDICTION: Mayfield 47, Somerset 36
CLASS 4A CHAMPIONSHIP, Boyle County (14-0) vs Johnson Central (14-0), Saturday, 4:30 p.m.
One of two games that feature two undefeated teams takes place in Saturday’s second game as Boyle County and Johnson Central meet. This will be Johnson Central’s fifth straight state title game, having gone 1-3 in the prior four. Boyle County has had a ton of success in state championships, going 8-1 in their prior nine trips. Boyle County has been a machine all season, pretty much destroying anyone in their way all season. They’ve won their 14 games by an average of 41.2 points per game, their closest contest being last week in a semifinal win over Central, 31-14. Johnson Central has been nearly as dominant, winning by an average of 37.2 points per game. This matchup should be a doozy.
PREDICTION: Boyle County 41, Johnson Central 30
CLASS 5A CHAMPIONSHIP, Covington Catholic (14-0) vs Frederick Douglass (14-0), Saturday, 8 p.m.
The second battle of undefeatededs takes place in the final of three games on Saturday when Covington Catholic and Frederick Douglass meet. If you like defense, this game is for you. Cov Cath has allowed more than 10 points just once in a game this season. The Colonels have pitched six shutouts this season and allow 6.07 points per game. Frederick Douglass is even stingier, pitching nine shutouts and allowing 6.0 points per game. I’d say both coaches looked at the Lexington Catholic tape, the Knights basically the only team to have success against the two. Cov Cath beat Lex Cath 39-38 on September 6, Frederick Douglass beat Lex Cath 42-31 on November 1. Knights QB and University of Kentucky signee Beau Allen may have had a little bit to do with that as well.
PREDICTION: Covington Catholic 14, Frederick Douglass 13
CLASS 6A CHAMPIONSHIP, Male (14-0) vs Trinity (12-2), Sunday, 2 p.m.
The final state title matchup is one that will be highly anticipated in the Louisville area. Male was able to knock off Trinity in a double-overtime thriller back on September 20 and Sunday’s contest figures to be another classic. These two programs own the last five state championships in 6A, Male owning the 2015 and ‘18 state titles, Trinity in 2014, ‘16 and ‘17. In the first meeting, Male WR Izayah Cummings was a big factor, hauling in six passes for 145 yards and two touchdowns. Cummings is headed to play on the very same field next year for UK. Trinity’s Armon Tucker had success in the ground game, going for 108 yards in the contest. Male missed three field goals in the first matchup despite being able to come out victorious, so that could play a factor in Sunday’s contest.
PREDICTION: Male 20, Trinity 14
Want to go? Single-game tickets are available for purchase online at: http://bit.ly/2DDfFj4.
Each championship game will be webcast live at KHSAA.tv for subscribers to the NFHS Network (https://www.nfhsnetwork.com/). Subscription plans for the NFHS Network are available for $10.99 a month. A monthly subscription, priced less than the cost of admission to a state championship event, entitles users to every broadcast by the KHSAA and the 45 participating state associations.
A free audio-only feed of the games will also be available online through Mixlr (http://mixlr.com/khsaa/events/), which has a corresponding app available for iOS and Android devices. In addition, live stats for each game will be available on the Football page at KHSAA.org.